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Wednesday, November 02, 2011

A bounce in the Dow after the last two negative sessions as we ended the day with a gain of 178 points on light volume. The advance/declines were 5 to 1 positive. The Fed spoke, people listened and we got on with it. I didn't like the fact that the volume was light today. However we are moving to a short term oversold condition on the stock indices and that may provide some relief for the bulls. Or not. Next up is the employment report on Friday. That doesn't mean that we aren't wary of anything coming out or Europe. That's the wild card here. GE was up 1/4 and the volume was light here as well. The technical condition of GE is a mirror of the overall market. No trades here for now. Gold was up about $25 on the futures as the US dollar fell a buck today. The XAU rose 4 1/2. ABX up 1 1/4, GG higher by 1 2/3 and NEM gained a buck. Volume was average here. My ABX calls are still in the black. I am thinking about getting rid of them soon but the technicals are not yet as overbought as I would like. That said, getting a profit out of this trade is imperative. Mentally I'm a bit tired, did not sleep well. Todays market action looked like nothing more than an oversold bounce but I could be wrong. The markets are waiting for some news from Greece. That will be the key for the near term direction. The problem there is that you just don't know what's going to happen. It's hard to trade off of that. But that is the market reality we're in at the moment. We'll see what tomorrow brings.

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