Wednesday, July 01, 2026
Back and forth today ahead of the employment report and a long weekend as the Dow dipped 14 points on heavy volume. The advance/declines were positive. The summation index is still trending higher. Both the NASDAQ and S&P 500 finished lower with the NASDAQ leading the way. The S&P opened with a gap lower then made it all the way back to positive territory only to drift down for the rest of the session. The short term indicators here are beginning to stall but are not yet overbought. The S&P has for now been stopped at the near term down trend line. Not sure what to expect next. Could go either way. The reaction to the jobs report will most likely tell the story. Gold was up $15 on the futures after being much higher early on. The US dollar was higher along with interest rates. The XAU was off a point and GDX shed 1/2. Volume was average. The gold shares were much higher early on and then gave everything back during the session. That is not a positive. The short term indicators for GDX are stuck in oversold territory. My GDX July calls are back to being losers after turning positive this morning. Mentally I'm feeling OK. The VIX was up a bit which fits a slightly down market. The short term indicators here are oversold but not completely. Not exactly sure what is next for this indicator. I'd expect tomorrow to be busy in the beginning and then slow down as players head out early for the holiday weekend. The S&P is stalling at the daily down trend line. Getting through there would be a solid plus for the bulls. If the line holds the bears would be back in charge. Probably will find out tomorrow. Asia was generally higher and Europe mixed overnight. We'll close out the trading week tomorrow.
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