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Thursday, May 05, 2011

It was a selling spree today as the Dow lost 139 points on heavy volume. Advance/declines were negative. The summation index is now heading lower. We broke through the 1340 level on the S&P 500. Unless we get a sharp turnaround tomorrow, the trend will be changing to down. I expected today to be a waiting game for tomorrows employment report but that was not the case. All asset classes were liquidated today and we haven't seen that for a while. Something is going on but I haven't a clue as yet. GE lost 1/3 on average volume. We're still in a trading range here. Gold got clobbered again as the US dollar had a sharp rally from oversold levels. The dollar rally probably contributed to the stock market decline as well. Gold lost over $30 and another $10 in the aftermarket. The XAU fell 7 1/8. ABX off 1 1/4, GG down 2 and NEM fell 1 3/4. Volume was good. My ABX May calls took a hit but not as much as expected, which is puzzling. We've decisively broken down through the 200 day moving average. This trade needs to be exited tomorrow. If we get a weak employment report that might provide a pop for the precious metal. That would be the time to bail out of this loser. We'll see. Mentally I'm feeling OK. Todays market action wasn't expected by me. We are getting short term oversold on the stock indices but that may not mean anything if this is the start of something big. I certainly don't know. The transports were higher today and that means that there is a chance that today was a one day wonder. However the transports could have been reacting to the huge drop in oil today. Time will tell.

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