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Tuesday, March 24, 2026

Bouncing around today as we opened with a gap lower and traded sideways for the rest of the session. The Dow fell 84 points on heavy volume. The advance/declines were about even. The summation index is still trending lower. The NASDAQ led the way down and that is not a plus. The S&P 500 had a small loss. The short term indicators there are still oversold and now heading sideways. We remain at the mercy of the next Iran headline. We'll stick to the sidelines for now. Gold was off four bucks on the futures. The US dollar was higher along with interest rates. The XAU was up 3 3/4 and GDX finished flat. Volume was average. Still short term oversold for GDX. We are looking at the GDX April calls as the next trade but will wait on that for now. There is still a chance that stocks move lower from here and they would take the gold shares with them. Mentally I'm feeling OK. The VIX was up a bit today which fits a down market. The short term indicators here are trying to move up. If they do we'll see lower prices. We are in a tricky trading environment due to the overall geo-political background which includes war. Option premiums remain high because of volatility and the beginning of the next option cycle. So I will try and remain patient for now. Asia and Europe were higher last night with the exception of the DAX. I'll be keeping an eye on things overnight.

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