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Tuesday, February 18, 2025

Sideways trading action to begin the short week as the Dow rose 10 points on good volume. The advance/declines were positive. The summation index is still trying to move higher. There were slight gains in most of the major averages today. The S&P 500 did manage to close at a new all time high. It remains short term overbought and at the top of the Bollinger bands. I still think that the S&P will move higher from here but it won't be anything resembling robust. I could be wrong. Expiration week with not a lot of market data to digest. No SPY trades in mind at the moment. Gold futures gained back the fifty bucks that they lost on Friday. The US dollar was higher along with interest rates. The XAU added 2 points and GDX was up 1/2. Volume was average. Considering the rise in the price of gold, the gold shares didn't move much. I'm not considering the GDX February puts anymore as that opportunity looks like it was just a one day affair. It appears that I won't be making any trades in the February option cycle unless something out of the ordinary occurs. Mentally I'm feeling OK. The VIX was a bit higher today despite a lack of price movement in stocks. It remains short term oversold. The VIX remains below both the 50 and 200 day moving averages. Not sure what's coming next here for the VIX. No clear tecnnical signals for a trade right now so we'll have to remain patient. Not the easiest thing to do sometimes but that is where we are. Asia finished mixed with Europe higher overnight. I'll keep an eye on tonights headlines.

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