Tuesday, January 13, 2026
The Dow took a hit today as it fell 398 points on heavy volume. The advance/declines were slightly positive. The summation index continues higher. The inflation data came in where expected with more due tomorrow. The S&P 500 and NASDAQ posted small losses. This means our idea of buying the SPY puts is in jeopardy but we'll see how tomorrow plays out. The S&P 500 remains short term overbought. We still might try the SPY January puts on strength tomorrow or perhaps wait until Thursday. But the risk may not be worth it. Gold was off a dozen on the futures. The US dollar finished flat and interest rates were barely lower. The XAU was up 3 2/3, while GDX added 3/4 on about average volume. GDX continues to be short term overbought. Mentally I'm feeling OK. The VIX was higher today. The short term indicators here are now moving up which implies more near term selling for stocks. Not yet overbought for GDX but some of the indicators are close. Which means that any attempt at buying the SPY January puts has to be a strictly short term trade and shorter than the three days remaining on those contracts. Or perhaps we should simply pass on this idea. I'll ponder it overnight. Asia and Europe finished mixed overnight. We'll see what tomorrow brings.
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