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Tuesday, January 20, 2026

Tariff tantrums return as the Dow fell 870 points on heavy volume. The advance/declines were better than 3 to 1 negative. The summation index is begining to stall. The NASDAQ led the way down and that's negative. We had a big gap down at the open for stocks and continued lower from there. The short term up trend line for the S&P 500 has been broken. The short term indicators there are moving down with room to go although some are already oversold. Support could come in at 6700 or 6600 but we don't know at this point. It might be a lot lower. The market is at the mercy now of the next headline and that is a risky game to play. Option premiums have also gone up with the increase in volatility. Not exactly sure what our next trade will be. Gold took off to the upside as haven demand increased. The yellow metal was up $166 on the futures. The US dollar sank while interest rates continue to rise. The XAU jumped over twenty points and GDX climbed 5 1/2. Volume was good to the upside. GDX is overbought, extremely so and showing no signs of slowing down. Money simply continues to find a home here. Mentally I'm feeling OK. The VIX took off to the upside and closed above the 20 level. The short term indicators there are now overbought but not completely. It appears that stocks could be in for wild ride this week. We are looking at both the puts and the calls for the SPY. But the better approach might be staying on the sidelines and waiting for a legitimate technical signal. We'll see. Asia and Europe were lower as players head for the exits. I'll keep an eye on the overnight developments.

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