Friday, January 16, 2026
A day of hanging around on expiration Friday as the Dow fell 83 points on heavy volume. The advance/declines were negative. The summation index is moving up. Minor losses were posted by the major averages. The short term indicators for the S&P are still heading sideways. Rolling into the February option cycle which has an extra week in it. A holiday weekend here in the US as well. We are waiting for the next signal to put on the next trade. Gold dropped $35 on the futures. The US dollar finished little changed and interest rates continue to rise. The XAU and GDX had fractional moves higher on about average volume. The indicators for GDX simply remain overbought. Mentally I'm feeling OK. The VIX ended the day flat. The short term indicators here are still mid-range. So the VIX remains in a position of implying that things could go either way. I'll be going over the charts during the long weekend as usual. Sometimes you have to remain patient in the game while awaiting the next perceived opportunity. That is the position that we are in now. It isn't always easy to wait but it is better than trying to force things. Markets go where they want. Europe and Asia were down with the exception of India. It's Friday afternoon and time for a break.
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