Thursday, August 20, 2026
Back to the downside today as stocks cannot seem to gain any traction. The Dow fell 703 on lighter volume. The advance/declines were about 2 to 1 negative. The summation index is back to trending lower. The Dow led things down but both the NASDAQ and S&P 500 had decent losses. The short term indicators on the S&P are now heading lower and are at the mid-range level. There is strong near term support at the break out level of 7600. The longer term up trend line comes in at 7550. If for some reason those levels don't hold then we will be in for more downside. Getting close to a short term buy signal on one of our indicators for the S&P. Gold is the place to be as the futures added another $38. The US dollar finished about flat and interest rates rose. The XAU gained almost ten points, while GDX was up 2 1/2. Volume is still good to the upside here. GDX remains overbought on all the short term indicators. The medium term indicators still have room to go. Looking to try the GDX September calls if we see any pullback. Mentally I'm feeling OK. The VIX was up today and the daily chart looks like it wants to go higher. The short term indicators here are moving higher and are no longer oversold. It looks like volatility is going to make a comeback. I also still like the idea for the SPY September puts. Asia was higher and Europe lower overnight. We'll close out the week tomorrow.
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