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Tuesday, March 25, 2025

It was a day of consolidating yesterdays gains as the market simply treaded water and moved sideways on the session. The Dow rose 4 points on good volume. The advance/declines were negative. The summation index is trending higher. The NASDAQ continues to be the outperformer. The S&P 500 had a slight gain as the short term indicators continue to move up. I'm waiting on a some kind of techincal signal to attempt the next trade. Not sure how long that will take. No hurry as the option premiums are high since we just rolled into the April cycle. Gold was up $9 on the futures. The US dollar was slightly lower as were interest rates. The XAU was up 2 7/8, while GDX added 3/4. Volume was light. The gold shares finished off of their best levels on the day. The daily candlestick chart for GDX has a potential shooting star top in place after today but we'll have to wait and see where things go from here for that to be valid. Mentally I'm feeling OK. The VIX was down and closed below its 200 day moving average. The short term indicators here are oversold but can stay that way during rallies. Not sure what's next here for the VIX but there is an up trend line that comes in around 16 which is a point away. I'm leaning towards trying the SPY April puts if it gets above 580 and the short term indicators are overbought. Hasn't happened yet. Europe and Asia trended higher with the exception of the Hang Seng. We'll see where things go tomorrow.

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