Another mixed pictire today as the Dow rose 52 points on heavy volume. The advance/declines were positive. The summation index is moving higher. The market was trending sideways before dropping late in the day. Both the NASDAQ and S&P 500 posted modest losses with the NASDAQ leading the way lower. Not exactly sure why the late exit from stocks but perhaps a bit of fear ahead of tomorrows jobs report. Some of the short term indicators for the S&P 500 are beginning to stall. I remain in the bullish camp here though and expect new all time highs for the S&P soon. I would change my mind if we see some kind of sharp downside price action tomorrow but I do not think that is in the cards. Gold was off $26 on the futures. The US dollar finished little changed and interest rates dropped. The XAU added 3 points and GDX was up an 1/8 or so. Volume was light. The gold shares did better than gold itself and we haven't seen that lately. The short term indicators for GDX are beginning to stall at mid-range. I did place an order overnight for the GDX February puts again and I'm leaving it out there. Not sure it will get filled as there is a very wide spread in the strike price that I'm trying to buy. We'll see what happens tomorrow. Mentally I'm feeling OK. The VIX was a bit higher today and that fits with todays overall price action. The short term indicators here didn't move much. It's all about the employment report tomorrow. I don't know what to expect from that but the market reaction will tell the story. Asia was up and Europe slightly lower overnight. We'll keep an eye on tonights developments ahead of tomorrows data.

We did see some upside follow through to Fridays huge gains but the Dow only managed a gain of 20 points on heavy volume. The advance/declines were positive. The summation index is trying to move higher. The NASDAQ was by far the leader today and that is a plus for the bulls. The S&P 500 is poised to make a new all time high. The short term indicators there are now trending higher with room to go. Plenty of earnings and economic data due this week so there will be excuses for market movement. I'm in the bullish camp for now regarding the S&P. Gold was up $123 on the futures to close back above the $5000 level. The US dollar was lower and interest rates finished little changed. The XAU gained almost 23 points and GDX was up 5 1/2. Volume was above average to the upside. Has the decline for gold and the gold shares ended already? That is the question we are dealing with. The short term indicators for GDX are now moving higher with room to go. I'm still considering the GDX February puts and will think about putting in a overnight order for them. But we also have to consider the possiblity that the sharp decline we saw a week ago may be it for the downside as the parabolic move higher stalled. As usual the trading is never easy. Mentally I'm feeling OK. The VIX was lower today which fits an up market. The short term indicators here are trending lower and not yet oversold. The VIX seems to be supporting higher stock prices going forward for now. Asia and Europe were higher to begin the week as global funds return to stocks. We'll see how things go tomorrow.

Stocks exploded to the upside today with the Dow closing above the 50000 level for the first time. The Dow gained 1207 points on heavy volume. The advance/declines were 4 to 1 positive. The summation index has now turned back up but is still in a sideways configuration. Yesterday looked like the market was going to fall apart and today it seems there is no stopping it to the upside. Perhaps the idea of the SPY calls was simply a day too early. However we are always wary when rallies appear out of nowhere, especially in what was considered a weak market. The Dow was the best performer today but all the major indices had stellar gains. The short term indicators for the S&P 500 have turned back up. We are going to have to look things over this weekend to decide where we're going next. Gold was up $87 on the futures. The US dollar was weaker and interest rates finished flat. The gold shares followed the overall market higher. The XAU gained 19 1/4, while GDX added 5 points. Volume was lighter than it has been. The short term indicators for GDX are still in oversold territory but they are trying to move up. I'm still considering trying the GDX February puts but this will also be something that needs a closer look over the weekend. Mentally I'm feeling OK. The VIX sank with the rise in stocks and is back below the 20 level. The short term indicators here are moving down. It could be that the decline for stocks is over for now but we'll know more about that in the coming week. We'll get the late jobs report and some inflation data. There will be plenty of charts to check over this weekend as we try and figure out the next trade. Still two weeks to go in the February option cycle less one day for a holiday. Asia was mixed and Europe higher to finish off the week overseas. It's Friday afternoon and time for a break.

Sellers have taken control as the Dow fell 593 points on very heavy volume. The advance/declines were 2 to 1 negative. The summation index is beginning to move lower. Not sure what's going on here but we cannot argue with price. Once again the NASDAQ led the way lower and that's a negative which it has been for a while. I was leaning towards the SPY calls but that thought was wrong. The short term indicators for the S&P are moving down and it closed below its 50 day moving average. The short term up trend line here has now been broken. Things could get ugly before they get better. Gold dropped $118 on the futures. The US dollar was higher and interest rates dropped in a flight to bonds. The gold shares got whacked. The XAU fell almost 25 points and GDX lost6 1/3. Volume remains heavy. It appears that the early week bounce for the gold shares is all that we are going to get, which makes it too late for the GDX February puts. Unless we see some kind of dramatic turnaround higher tomorrow in the precious metals. Some of the gold stocks have already lost over 20%. Looks like just another missed opportunity. Mentally I'm feeling OK. The VIX was up today and closed above the 20 level. Volatility has returned. The short term indicators here are now moving up with conviction and are almost short term overbought. Lower stock prices seem to be the future going forward. Perhaps we'll look for a bounce out of nowhere to try the SPY puts but it is most likely too late for that. We never got a clear signal for direction but the action of the market recently was puzzling. We now know it was a precursor to lower prices. Tomorrow should be interesting. Asia and Europe were genrally lower overnight. We'll close out the trading week tomorrow.

A mixed bag today as the Dow gained 260 points on very heavy volume. The advance/declines were positive. The summation index is moving sideways. We got a signal last night from the McClellan oscillator for a big move with the next two sessions and todays drop in the NASDAQ qualifies that. Both the NASDAQ and S&P 500 posted losses on the session, with the NASDAQ once again leading the way lower. It is hard to have a positive outlook going forward with the NASDAQ down in the dumps. The short term indicators for the S&P are still trending lower and are at the mid-range level. Sellers have the upper hand for now. Gold was up $29 on the futures. The US dollar was higher and interest rates finished flat again. The XAU was off 7/8 and GDX rose 1/2. Volume remains good here. The short term indicators for GDX are starting to trend sideways. We still like the idea of trying the GDX February puts going forward. Mentally I'm feeling OK. The VIX was higher today. The indicators here are still tracking higher but without any conviction. Got above the 20 level again but then fell back. Again, we are getting a mixed picture from the indicators when it applies to the SPY right now so we are waiting for a solid signal one way or the other. There is still plenty of time in the February option cycle to put on a trade with regards to the SPY. Remaining patient for now. I'm leaning towards the calls. Asia and Europe were higher except for the NIKK and the DAX. I'll keep an eye on the overnight headlines.

We had the return of volatility today as the Dow fell 166 points on very heavy volume. The advance/declines were slightly positive. The summation index continues to track sideways. It was a one day downside reversal for most indices as stocks opened higher and closed lower. Once again the NASDAQ led the way lower and that's a negative. The S&P 500 dropped almost sixty points. The short term indicators there are now moving lower. It did bounce off of the 50 day moving average though. I do not think we are in for a big drop here right away but I could be wrong. We are still waiting for a signal to trade the SPY options. Gold had a much needed bounce today as the futures gained $310. The US dollar was a bit lower and interest rates finished flat. The XAU rose over 17 1/2, while GDX added 4. Volume remains pretty heavy here. Some of the short term indicators for GDX have begun to turn up. This is a start to the bounce we are looking for in order to try and get the GDX February puts again. Ideally this would occur at around the 105 level for GDX if it can make it back that far. We'll see. Mentally I'm feeling OK. The VIX shot higher today before falling back below the 20 level. The short term indicators here are now pointing higher. It appears that volatility has made a comeback which means that the trading has to be quite nimble to be successful. I don't have a good handle on the SPY right now so we will have to sit things out there. I do favor the GDX puts again at some point before the February option expiration. However we will remain patient for now. Asia was higher and Europe slightly lower overnight. I'll keep an eye on tonights developments.

Higher prices to begin the week as the Dow gained 515 points on heavy volume. The advance/declines were positive. The summation index continues sideways. The Dow led the way today and that isn't the most bullish scenario. Both the NASDAQ and S&P 500 posted modest gains. Most of the short term indicators remain overbought for the S&P. Not sure where it is heading next but it is on the cusp of a new all time high. We were waiting for Fridays jobs report but it now is delayed due to another Federal government shut down. Not sure when it will be coming out. Waiting on the next signal for trading the SPY options. Gold dropped $62 on the futures. The US dollar was higher along with interest rates. The XAU was off 1 1/2 and GDX lost 1/4. Volume remains heavy here. The short term indicators for GDX are still moving down with some already oversold. We are waiting for a bounce in the gold shares to try the GDX February puts. The gold shares lost around 17% from the high to the low in two days to end last week. Hoping for some kind of bounce off of that but we may just see a grind lower as well. Not expecting gold itself to make it back the the all time high anytime soon. Mentally I'm feeling OK. The VIX was lower today and the daily candlestick chart looks like it wants to go lower. The short term indicators here are now heading down. This would bode well for stocks in the near term but we'll have to wait and see. Really need to see the NASDAQ get going to the upside for the bulls to be in charge. Europe was higher and Asia lower with the exception of India to begin the week. We'll see how things go tomorrow.