Monday, October 14, 2024
Continuing to the upside on a partial holiday Monday as the Dow added 201 points on pretty light volume. The advance/declines were positive. The summation index is beginning to stall. The NASDAQ led the way higher and that's a plus for the bulls. The S&P 500 remains short term overbought as it has been for quite a while. My SPY October puts got crushed today and this trade will end up being a loser unless a sell off appears out of the blue. I'm too far out of the money with only four days to go before option expiration. Shorts got squeezed along with index put owners. I still cannot believe that the market continues higher with such light volume but price is the ultimate judge and jury. No overhead resistance so I'm not sure how long this goes on. Gold was off $7. The US dollar was higher and the bond market was closed. The XAU and GDX had slight fractional moves in either direction on extremely light volume. The short term indicators for GDX are now mid-range. Mentally I'm feeling OK. The VIX was lower today which fits the upside for stocks. The short term indicators here continue to drift lower with no conviction. Back below the 20 level now on the VIX. Not much economic data due out this week but we will have earnings reports to deal with. Europe and Asia were generally higher to start the week. We'll keep an eye on tonights headlines.
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