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Thursday, October 17, 2024

A mixed bag today as the Dow rose 161 points on light volume to another record close. The advance/declines were negative. The summation index is back to heading sideways. The NASDAQ barely posted a gain and the S&P 500 was off a point. The S&P remains short term overbought. I remain convinced that it needs to take a pause. Expiration Friday tomorrow, not sure what that will bring. Gold was up $15 on the futures. The US dollar was higher along with interest rates. The XAU gained 1 1/2 and GDX was up another 1/2. Volume was average. The GDX calls would have worked in the October option cycle and that was a trade that I missed. Mentally I'm feeling OK. The VIX was lower today. The short term indicators here are still at the mid-range level but appear to be picking up steam heading down. This would imply lower VIX readings and still yet higher stock prices going forward. Still waiting for the TRAN and The NASDAQ to confirm the new all time highs for the Dow and they are almost there but not yet. Confirmation would change my idea about a drop for stocks in the near term. It is something worth keeping an eye on in my view. Europe higher and Asia lower overnight. We'll see how expiration Friday goes tomorrow.

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