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Tuesday, June 30, 2026

Moving higher as the Dow added 136 points on heavy volume for another closing record. The advance/declines were slightly negative. The summation index is trending higher. Once again the breadth did not match the price action. But the NASDAQ led the way up again and that's a plus. The short term indicators for the S&P 500 are moving higher. It is now right up against the short term down trend line that began at the beginning of the month. What happens here will be the key to whether we move back to the record high on the S&P or roll over with another lower near term high on the daily chart. Perhaps the market reaction to the jobs report will tell the story. Gold dipped $9 on the futures to end the month. The US dollar was slightly higher and interest rates rose. The XAU and GDX had fractional moves one way or the other on light volume to finish off June. The short term indicators for GDX continue to trend sideways in oversold territory. My GDX July calls are now showing a small loss. If GDX doesn't start heading higher soon this trade will most likely be a loser. The potential positive RSI divergence is still in place but barely. Mentally I'm feeling OK. The VIX was lower as the short term indicators here continue to move down. Not yet short term oversold for the VIX but getting there. A lower VIX will support higher stock prices. Asia was mixed and Europe higher last night. I'll keep an eye on the overnight developments.

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