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Monday, June 15, 2026

A big rally to start the shortened option expiration week as the Dow gained 468 points on heavy volume. The advance/declines were positive. The summation index is trending higher. An extended ceasefire to the Iran conflict is supposed to happen on Friday, which brought buyers to the market. The NASDAQ led the way higher by far and that is a plus for the bulls. We still have the new Fed chairman to deal with on Wednesday. The S&P 500 was up almost 125 points. The short term indicators there are moving higher with room to go. Another day like today for tomorrow would put the index back at new all time highs. Trying the SPY June puts on strength tomorrow is still an idea but I'll probably just stay on the sidelines. We'll see. Gold ralled as the futures gained over a hundred bucks today. The US dollar was slightly lower along with interest rates. The XAU jumped over twenty points, while GDX added 5 1/8. Volume was heavy to the upside. The short term indicators for GDX are also moving higher with room to go. It appears that we've missed the GDX July call trade but if we do see any pullback, I'll be trying this idea. GDX broke through its short term down trend line today. The longer term down trend line comes in at the 90 level which is also where you'll find the 50 day moving average. Mentally I'm feeling OK. The VIX is heading lower and that is a plus for stocks. The short term indicators here are moving down and are not yet oversold. It appears that most signs are pointing towards higher stock prices going forward. The SPY put trade that I mentioned would strictly be a short term attempt. In Tuesday and out on Wednesday but the risk would be extremely high. We should probably wait for a better set up. Asia and Europe were higher as the world would welcome calmer seas. We'll see what transpires overnight.

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