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Monday, June 29, 2026

Buyers eventually took over today as the Dow gained 306 points for a new record on heavy volume. The advance/declines were slightly positive. The summation index is trying to trend higher. After a gap higher at the open, we sold off to negative territory and then spent the rest of the day moving higher. The NASDAQ led things heading higher and that is a plus for the bulls. However the breadth was not what you'd expect for such a positive market. We cannot argue with price though. The short term indicators for the S&P 500 have turned up with room to go. Could this be the beginning of a summer rally? We'll see. Gold lost $67 on the futures. The US dollar was lower and interest rates finished flat. The XAU lost 5 1/8 while GDX slipped 1 1/3. Volume was light. The short term indicators for GDX are back to moving lower in oversold territory. My open order for the GDX July calls was filled this morning. So we are in the next trade. It closed at where I purchased them. There are 2 1/2 weeks for this idea to take shape so at this point I'll simply hold it unless the gold shares continue to drop. The short term potential positive RSI divergence is still in place but if GDX takes out the recent lows that pattern will be negated. Mentally I'm feeling OK. The VIX was down today and the short term indicators here are trending lower. If the VIX continues to fall it should bode well for stocks. A short holiday trading week with the employment report out on Thursday. End of the month tomorrow. Asia was generally higher and Europe lower to start the week. We'll see how things go on Tuesday.

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