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Wednesday, June 24, 2026

Another mixed bag as the Dow rose 182 points on heavy volume. The advance/declines were slightly positive. The summation index continues sideways. We got a signal last night from the McClellan Oscillator for a big move within two days. We'll see if that pans out tomorrow. Both the NASDAQ and S&P 500 closed lower again with the NASDAQ still leading the way. But the losses were small. Tomorrows inflation data will most likely tell the story of where we're heading on Thursday. Some of the short term indicators for the S&P ae beginning to stall but they are still heading south. The 50 day moving average has been acting as support so far. No SPY option trades in mind at the moment. Gold got clobbered again as the futures fell $144. The US dollar is still heading higher and interest rates dropped. The XAU lost 13 1/3 and GDX shed around 3. Volume was good again to the downside. My open order for the GDX July calls didn't get filled but the option price got down to what I was willing to pay. Sometimes the market makers just don't cooperate but it gives me a clue that this is the right idea. I'll try again tomorrow to pick up some of the GDX calls if we see some weakness in the gold shares early. The short term indicators for GDX are still trending lower and are getting close to oversold. There is also a potential positive RSI divergence on the GDX daily chart. But we also have to be aware that gold along with the gold shares appear to be in a free fall and we don't when that will stop. Mentally I'm feeling OK. The VIX was a bit lower today and closed below the 20 level. The short term indicators here are now mixed. I'm not sure what's coming next for the VIX. Asia was higher with the exception of Japan and Europe rose with the exception of the DAX. It appears that the after the bell MU earnings release has given the stock index futures a boost. We'll see what happens with tomorrows inflation data and take it from there.

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