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Thursday, June 18, 2026

Bouncing back today ahead of a long weekend as the Dow gained 72 points on expiration extremely heavy volume. The advance/declines were positive. The summation index is tracking sideways. The overall market was much stronger than the Dow with the NASDAQ leading the way. That is a plus for the bulls. The S&P 500 was up over 1%. The short term indicators there are starting to turn back up. No SPY option trades in mind at the moment. Gold dropped another $50 or so on the futures. The US dollar continues to move higher and interest rates finished flat. The XAU lost 7 7/8, while GDX fell about two points. Volume was heavy again to the downside. The short term indicators for GDX are trending lower with room to go. Ideally a retest of last weeks lows would set us up to purchase the GDX July calls. The market rarely cooperates. I still like the idea of the July gold share calls on weakness so we'll see how it goes. I will recheck the charts this weekend and take it from there. Mentally I'm feeling OK. The VIX was back down today which fits an up market. The short term indicators here have turned back lower. Not exactly sure what's next for the VIX. An extra day over this weekend to check things out after a somewhat volatile trading week. We are beginning to move into summer trading mode with players starting to take time off. The July option trading cycle has a day less in it with another holiday coming in two weeks. Europe and Asia were mixed overnight. It's Thursday afternoon and time for a break.

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