Wednesday, January 07, 2026
Sellers took control today as the Dow fell 466 points on heavy volume. The advance/declines were shy of 2 to 1 negative. The summation index is now beginning to stall again. The Dow was the underperformer as the NASDAQ actually posted a small gain. The S&P 500 was off over twenty points. The short term indicators there are trying to turn down. We now have to determine if this is a chance to try the SPY January calls or if the market is going to roll over. We were pretty sure that we were going to 50000 on the Dow and 7000 on the S&P in short order. However todays price action puts that thesis in jeopardy. We thought we would simply drift higher into Fridays employment report. Now, that is not the case. We'll be checking things over again tonight. Gold took a breather as the futures were down $32. The US dollar was up a bit and interest rates were slightly lower. The XAU was lower by around 3 2/3, while GDX shed 1 1/8. Volume was light. No GDX options trade in mind at the moment. Mentally I'm feeling OK. The VIX was up today and the short term indicators here are now at the mid-range level. The VIX now looks like it wants to go higher which would send stocks lower. We would really like to see a clear signal one way or the other for our first trade of the new year but that doesn't seem to be happening here. Asia and Europe were generally lower overnight but the DAX posted a solid gain. I'll keep an eye on the overnight developments.
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