A mixed bag on a summer Friday as the Dow gained 235 points on good volume. The advance/declines were positive. The summation index is moving lower. The NASDAQ lost over 150 points, while the S&P 500 had a very slight rise. As long as the NASDAQ continues to lead the way lower I don't see any sustainable rallies in the near future for the overall market. I could be wrong but probably not this time around. Some of the short term indicators on the S&P are beginning to stall and others are moving lower. Not yet completely short term oversold here. The market remains in headline risk mode and at the mercy of the US/Iran conflict. Gold was up five bucks on the futures. The US dollar finished flat and interest rates had a small bounce up. The XAU and GDX had slight fractional moves one way or the other on very light volume. The short term indicators for GDX are stalling at the mid-range level. I still like the idea of the GDX calls going forward. However the lack of volume in this space still shows that there isn't much trading interest here at the moment. Summertime might have something to do with that along with a negative fundamental picture right now for the precious metals. It could be that sideways price action is the most we can expect from this group for now. I'll take another look at things over the weekend. Mentally I'm feeling OK. The VIX was slightly lower today. The short term indicators here are hanging around and I'm not sure what to expect from this indicator next. I'll be checking out the charts over the weekend as usual. We've got a Fed meeting next week along with some inflation data so things should get interesting. Asia lower and Europe higher to close out the week. It's Friday afternoon and time for a break.

To the downside with some conviction as the Dow fell 507 points on heavy volume. The advance/declines were around 3 to 1 negative. The summation index is now heading lower. A late bounce in the last ten minutes prevented things from being worse. The NASDAQ continues to lead the way down and that is not a good sign. Trading began with a huge gap lower and never recovered. The S&P 500 lost ninety points. Most of the short term indicators there are heading south and not yet completely oversold. We can forget about new all time highs on the S&P for now. Gold dropped a hundred bucks on the futures today. The US dollar was up and interest rates continue to climb higher. The XAU lost 6 3/4, while GDX shed 1 2/3. Volume was light to the downside. Considering the drop in gold itself the gold shares held up rather well. That hasn't been the case lately and that shift has me thinking that the gold share calls might be the proper trade going forward. A few of the short term indicators on GDX are beginning to stall. I would like to see GDX get short term oversold again during the August option cycle but that may not happen. Mentally I'm feeling a bit tired. The VIX was up today and that fits todays price action. The short term indicators here have turned back up. Yesterday the daily chart for the VIX looked like it wanted to go lower. After today I'm not sure what to think. Still below the 20 level though. With the summation index now heading down we will look at the SPY August puts at some point. Premiums remain high since there are over four weeks left in the August option cycle. A light volume drift higher from here would be the ideal scenario. Markets rarely cooperate. Still at the mercy of the US/Iran conflict. Europe was down and Asia up with the exception of India overnight. We'll close out the trading week on Friday.

Pretty much a sideways summer session as the Dow dipped 6 points on good volume. The advance/declines were negative. The summation index remains in a channel. The NASDAQ led the way lower which is not a plus. Waiting on after the bell earnings as there isn't much to trade off of this week. The S&P 500 posted a small loss. The short term indicators there have begun to stall at the mid-range level. No clear signal one way or the other on the S&P so I will remain on the sidelines with regards to the SPY options for now. Gold continued higher as the futures gained $63. The US dollar was a touch lower and interest rates continued to climb. The XAU was up 9 3/4 and GDX added 2 1/2. Volume was average here. The short term indicators for GDX are moving up. It appears that I've missed this move higher for the gold shares but we'll have to see where it goes from here. I still like the idea of the GDX calls moving forward. Mentally I'm feeling OK. The VIX was bit lower today. Its short term indicators are stalling. The daily candlestick chart here still looks like it wants to go lower. Trying to remain patient here as we look for the next trade. The markets are still in headline risk mode. We will wait for the next good technical signal and go from there. Not sure how long that will take. Asia was generally lower and Europe higher overnight. I'll keep an eye on tonights events.

Higher from the start today as the Dow gained 385 points on heavy volume. The advance/declines were positive. The summation index remains in a rising channel. The NASDAQ led the way up and that's a plus for the bulls. Waiting on earnings reports as there is not much economic data due out this week. Some of the short term indicators for the S&P 500 have turned back up but they never made it all the way down to oversold territory. Waiting on some kind of signal here as option premiums are high and there is plenty of time in the August option cycle. Gold rallied today as the futures were up $73. The US dollar was higher along with interest rates. Normally higher rates along with a strong US dollar would be bearish for gold. Not sure what's going on here. The XAU climbed 15 3/4, while GDX added 3 1/2. Volume was light. The short term indicators for GDX are starting to move up from oversold territory. Will they finally make it higher this time around? Stay tuned. I still like the idea of the GDX calls going forward but will not chase this move as all the recent previous attempts to move up have failed. I will also try to not let the previous losing GDX call trade influence the next trade here. Mentally I'm feeling OK. The VIX dropped and that fits with a rally in stocks. The short term indicators here are now heading south and it appears that the 20 level has kept things in check. The daily candlestick chart on the VIX looks like it wants to go lower which would bode well for stocks. However we do remain in headline risk mode as geo-political tensions have not gone away. Asia mixed and Europe higher overnight. We'll see what tomorrow has in store for us.

We had one day downside reversals for most of the major averages today as the Dow fell 307 points on heavy volume. The advance/declines were negative. The summation index is still stuck in a channel. The Dow led things lower and that isn't the most bearish scenario. Still at the mercy of the next war headline and now there's earnings season to deal with as well. The short term indicators for the S&P 500 are still heading down and are not yet completely oversold. No trades in mind here yet as we don't have any technical signals in place. Gold dipped $8 on the futures. The US dollar was a bit higher as were interest rates. The XAU was down 1 1/3, while GDX slupped 1/2. Volume remains light here. The short term indicators for GDX are trending sideways in oversold territory as buyers are yet to be found. That said, we did see on the longer term charts that one of our preferred indicators for GDX is getting close to a buy signal. If that signal is hit I will be trying the GDX calls again. Hasn't happened yet but we are keeping an eye on it. Mentally I'm feeling OK. The VIX was a touch lower today which doesn't fit with a down market. Some of the short term indicators here are now moving sideways and are not yet overbought. Not sure what's next for the VIX. Getting close to the 20 level but still shy of it. If the VIX gets above 20 we'll see more volatility. No summer doldrums so far for this year. Asia and Europe were mixed overnight. We'll keep and eye on tonights developments.

Expiration Friday was a downer as the Dow fell 406 points on heavy volume. The advance/declines were around 2 to 1 negative. The summation index remains in an ascending sideways channel. There was a huge gap lower at the open and the market spent the rest of the session trying to make it back. It didn't make it. The NASDAQ led the way down and that is not a plus. The short term indicators for the S&P 500 have rolled over with room to go. It looks like new all time highs there will have to wait. The market remains at the mercy of the next US/Iran headline. Gold found a bid and the futures rose $27. The US dollar finished around unchanged as were most interest rates. The XAU was off 1 1/4, while GDX dipped 1/8. Volume was light. GDX continues to remain short term oversold. There remains no interest in owning the gold shares. Mentally I'm feeling OK. The VIX jumped up today which fits the downside day for stocks. The short term indicators here are moving up. Another day like today would put the VIX back over the 20 level. Hasn't happened yet. I'll be checking the charts over the weekend to try and come up with the next trading idea. Asia and Europe were lower with the exceptions of India and the FTSE. It's Friday afternoon and time for a break.

Heading lower today and it would of been worse but we got a pop back up in the last 10 minutes. The Dow dipped 105 points on heavy volume. The advance/declines were positive. The summation index remains in a sideways channel. The NASDAQ led the way lower. Retail sales came in where expected. The S&P 500 was lower and has remained in a sideways pattern for a little over a week. The short term indicators here are trending sideways with most in overbought territory. I've been looking for a new all time high on the S&P but the longer it takes, the less I think it is going to happen. Markets can stay overbought for quite a while at times though. The question is whether or not now is one of those times. Gold remains weak and dropped $68 on the futures to close below $4000. The US dollar was up and interest rates had a slight gain. The XAU lost 11 3/4 and GDX dropped 2 1/2. Volume was a bit above average. GDX closed below the near term support at 73. The short term indicators are still oversold. The longer term up trend line support for GDX comes in at 55. Is it going to go that low? We'll see. Mentally I'm feeling a bit tired. The VIX was back up today as it tries to make up its mind where to go. The short term indicators on the VIX are back to pointing higher. These indicators have moved back and forth for a couple of weeks. So you can see that the market is trying to make up its mind on which way to go. Europe and Asia finished mixed. We'll close out the week tomorrow.