Friday, September 04, 2026
The employment report was much stronger than expected but stocks didn't enjoy that news as the Dow fell 272 points on light volume. The advance/declines were about even. The summation index is stalling here. Will it turn around with a stock rally or roll back over with a market decline. Always plenty of questions with no clear answers ahead of time in this game. The Dow led things lower and that's not the most bearish scenario. The short term indicators on the S&P are now mixed. I'm waiting to see if we can move higher ahead of the inflation data next week to try the SPY September puts. No clear signal either way as of now but I'll be checking things over the long holiday weekend. Gold lost $58 on the futures. The US dollar was higher and interest rates were up slightly. The XAU fell almost 7 points and GDX lost 2 1/4. Volume was average. The short term indicators for GDX took a step back today. Not sure if I'm going to trade the GDX options ahead of the data next week but might try them the following week with the Fed meeting. There really isn't a clear signal here either right now. Only nine days left in the September option cycle. Mentally I'm feeling a bit tired. The VIX was up slightly today but remains at a very low level. The short term indicators here are oversold but not completely. Not sure what comes next for the VIX. Plenty of time this long weekend to go over the charts and get a game plan for next week. All the players should be back on Tuesday. Asia was higher and Europe mixed to close out the week. It's Friday afternoon and time for a break.
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