Thursday, September 11, 2008
A one day reversal to the upside as we opened down over 150 points and closed up 165 on the Dow.  Volume was heavy again as it has been a very busy week.  Advance/declines were negative though, which has me not believing in this move.  Short covering ahead of tomorrow is my guess.  Volatility is king.  I may try the OEX puts but it won't be until next week if at all.  Gold continues its free fall, down $17 and continuing lower in the aftermarket.  ABX, GG and NEM all gave back what they gained yesterday and the volume remains heavy.  This has been a straight down market.  At some point there will be a snap back rally and that is where I will dump the GG calls for a loss.  Or perhaps there won't be.  The Gold/XAU ratio has been blown out and I can't ever remember it staying like this for so long.  I guess there is no reason gold couldn't just keep dropping because there hasn't been any support for quite a while.  It is overdone to the downside most likely because of the tremendous dollar rally.  We've come back to 80 there and that is where multi-year resistance is.  I doubt it goes much higher from here.  GE was up a touch on very heavy volume after being down over a buck early.  Mentally I'm doing OK but could have slept better.  Stuck in a losing trade and that is never a good thing.  Almost expiration week and we'll see where the bias is.  Inflation data and retail sales tomorrow so we'll see what happens.
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