This blog will describe Jimmybees latest Market thoughts. It also will include thoughts on Jimmybees ongoing trading.
Monday, February 05, 2024
Some selling to begin the week as the Dow fell 274 points on average volume. The advance/declines were 4 to 1 negative. The summation index is now moving down. The Dow led the way lower and that isn't the most bearish scenario. The S&P 500 remains short term overbought with a potential negative RSI divergence on the daily chart. Not much on the economic calendar this week but plenty of earnings. Some Fed speak as well. I still would like to try the SPY February puts at some point before option expiration on the 16th. But we'll wait to see a clear signal first if one shows up. Gold dropped a dozen on the futures. The US dollar was higher along with interest rates. The gold shares fell as the XAU lost over 2 1/2, while GDX shed 2/3. Volume was average. My GDX February calls are solid losers and this trade is in a cut the loss mode at this point. Renewed Middle East tension over the weekend couldn't help the precious metal. A rising dollar along with higher interest rates isn't a help for the gold bulls as well. GDX closed below the important level of 27.5. I don't think anything can save this trade from being a loser. Mentally I'm feeling OK. The VIX was lower today which doesn't fit with a down market. The short term indicators remain mid-range. Europe and Asia were lower with the exception of Japan. We'll keep an eye on the overnight developments.
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