This blog will describe Jimmybees latest Market thoughts. It also will include thoughts on Jimmybees ongoing trading.
Tuesday, July 29, 2008
Back to the upside as the sellers disappeared for the day. The Dow gained 267 points, wiping out yesterdays loss. Volume was a bit higher than yesterday. Advance/declines were about 3 to 1 positive. Not oversold anymore. Tough to trade when it gets like this. I'm going to have to wait for a decent signal to trade the OEX. Plenty of time in the option cycle. Gold lost around $10 today and the XAU fell 4 points. ABX, GG and NEM all lost more than a point on decent volume. I bought some more GG calls. It is strictly an earnings play. Earnings are out on Thursday morning and we are so oversold here that I am expecting a pop to the upside. ABX reports then as well. This has to be a short term play because the fundamentals for gold here have changed. The dollar is rallying and the flight to safety caused by the recent stock market sell-off has ended. I do think that gold will look like a better long trade in the next couple of months. GE was up 3/4 but the volume was light again. Mentally I'm tired, did not sleep well. The risk in this new GG trade isn't that much, money wise. I think it has a good chance of working out if I keep the short term time frame in mind. That's not to say that we couldn't just keep on falling here in gold. We could. I should be out of both of these trades on Thursday, Friday at the latest depending on breaking news. We'll see.
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